Oil prices made a major peak in 2008. In many ways the peak is similar to the 1980 one. It took 24 years for prices to surpass the 1980 peak (see macrotrends.net chart below). It has now been 10 years since the 2008 peak. This tells me that oil will struggle for many years to…
Are you ready for the next leg of deflation? Where the real pain will be felt (mainly) because the collapse of commodities and oil, in particular, will be accompanied by the collapse of the US stock market. Due to the size of the cycles involved, it is very difficult for most to comprehend the continued…
Silver Price Forecast 2016: There is only so much value in the world economy, and it is split between all the different instruments (like gold, silver, stocks, bonds, commodities, etc.) where value resides. For silver and gold to rise significantly, relative to other instruments of value, value will have to be diverted away from those…
During the gold bull market of the 1970s, the Gold/Platinum ratio was in a significant uptrend. It went from about 0.2 to 1.4 over a 12-year period. That is a seven-fold increase. At the start of the current gold bull market (2001), the Gold/Platinum ratio was just a bit higher than 0.4. If the ratio…
Gold Stocks look set to rise significantly over the coming months. The current economic conditions are ideal for a gold stocks rally. This video deals with the similarity between current economic conditions and that during the Great Depression, and why these conditions should fuel a gold miner rally. It also covers technical analysis of the…
The current economic conditions are, in substance, very similar to that of the Great Depression. I have recently highlighted some of these similarities in a video presentation . The pattern that is being followed, suggests that the next big event, will be an acceleration of the increase in the price of gold, as well as…
My latest video update: Great Depression vs Now For more of this kind of analysis to help you navigate the financial markets, subscribe to my premium service . Warm regards and God bless, Hubert
It is well established that there is a high correlation between how the price of gold and silver trades. Thanks to this relationship between gold and silver, one is able to use historical trading data of the one good, in order to project what may happen to the price of the other. Awhile back, I…
I received an email from a good friend of mine, today. His comment, per the email, is in response to a prediction by Gann Global Financial, that 12 May 2011, was the 60-year anniversary of the commodity top, and that we might be at a turning point of what will be a 1 ½ year…
Below is my 16 March 2011 gold update, to give you an idea of my premium subscriber service. My gold updates are $10 per update. If you are interested or would like to know more, you can contact me via email. I have just issued an update on gold and silver, today. Warm regards Hubert…
Below is a chart that compares the Rand gold price to the JSE miners (JSE Gold Index): The blue(ish) chart is the Rand gold price and the black one is the JSE Gold Index. I have indicated similar “fractal” positions, which indicate that we are at a point in time where both charts should rise…
Just a follow-up on my rand gold price forecast. My forecast is progressing rather nicely. The price is making all the right technical moves. Below is a 5 yr chart (from gold price.org) for the SA rand gold price: Price is making its way up towards the target line, which is currently at about the…
Most people are mainly concerned with what is going on right now and are less concerned with what happened yesterday, last week or last year. The further in the past an event or development, the less are we concerned about (or aware of) it, and the less is our understanding of it. This appears to…
Let’s start with a big picture view. Below is a long term Dow/gold ratio chart. As you can see on the chart, it has just been one-way traffic the last ten years, with the ratio moving down from almost 45 to about 8.16. It seems that the next temporary stop might be between the 4…
24 June 2010 In a previous article called “Gold, Dow And The South African Rand” (dated 24 May 2010), I stated: “we will probably have more of these scary drops in the gold price as we continue into this volatile phase of the gold bull market. The good news for gold bugs is that we…
I believe that we have reached a time where the greatest wealth transfer in our lifetime as well as possibly in the history of this world is about to happen. Some people ask: “why the gloom and doom?” What they do not understand is the fact that this great transfer of wealth or collapse of the world’s monetary system (which they call gloom and doom) is inevitable due to past events.
If we wish to understand the 1970s (and subsequent American economic history), we must ask ourselves, what was the cause? Why did gold and oil advance so powerfully? Why did (consumer) prices go up faster than the money supply? Why did interest rates get into the mid-teens? (The prime rate in 1981 was reported as 20%; however, this was a false figure as the banks were trying to exaggerate. The actual high is best given by the T-bill rate, which hit 16% in May 1981.)
Hubert Moolman on SILVER and GOLD 