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The Dow went from around 2700 at the peak in 1987 (point 1) to a top of more than 29000 in 2020. Silver will do even better.
A breakdown of the US dollar would be a great confirmation of a sustained silver rally
We are now just after the Dow peak in the current cycle. If the Dow peak in Feb 2020 was indeed the top, then we are likely to see a Silver rally that will at least match the x10 during the period from 1977 to early 1980.
Since the current stimulus (increase in Fed balance sheet) is likely to fail, due to the massive deflationary forces , they are likely to just keep on pumping more and more.
So, for the Silver investor, what the US Dollar index might do over the coming years, is a very important question to answer.
Silver Price Forecast 2019/2018: These Indicators Are Predicting New All-time High Silver Prices The Dow/Gold ratio is a very reliable measure for where we are on the long-term economic timetable. It allows for an accurate reading of key economic conditions that are present at a particular period of time. With regards to silver, the period…
Silver is running out of time and space (on the chart) to decide where it will go over the next months and years.
Silver Prices Forecast 2018: Previously, I have shown how conditions in the financial markets are very similar to that of the early 80s (circa 1983). Basically, the Dow was at a start of a long-term rally around 1983, and silver just broke down and entered a long-term bear market. However, as I have predicted in…
Silver Price Forecast 2018: The US Dollar Breakdown Clears The Way For A 70s Style Silver Rally The apparent breakdown of the US Dollar Index is setting silver up for a spectacular rally. In fact, it could rally like it did in the late 70s. Below, is a long-term chart of the US dollar Index:…
This means we are likely to have rising silver prices for many years to come.
Silver Price Forecast 2017/2016 The worst part of the world’s ongoing financial crisis is still on the way: A crisis that has its roots in the debt-based monetary system. The debt-based monetary system has facilitated the growth of debt, to levels that will inevitably bring total collapse. Everyday we see more and more events (think…
Silver Price Analysis 2017/2016 In my previous silver article, I highlighted a very bullish pattern/fractal on the 100-year silver chart. It was a very big picture view of silver, which is really difficult to perceive within our current reality. However, at some point in time, it will catch up with our current reality. This will…
Silver Price Forecast 2017 / 2016 Historically, the silver price has a tendency to decline and rise way more and faster than most people expect. The recent 5-year decline is a good example of a decline that went lower than expected. There are good reasons for this, but we often miss it due to our…
Silver Price forecast 2017/2016 The current silver bull market is similar to the bull market of the 70s in many ways. Despite the similarities, silver will ultimately perform much better than during the 70s. One of the big reasons for this is the fact that debt levels are so much higher today, than during the…
Given the above, its natural that the Dow/Silver ratio is also an important indicator for future silver prices.
Since the inception of the debt-based monetary system (with its fractional-reserve banking), the banks have been playing a nasty game of Russian roulette. The only reason that the system has not blown-up is because the relevant cycles have not adequately lined up to deliver a fatal blow.
Silver Price Forecast: I have written extensively about how the current silver bull market is similar to the 70s. Despite these similarities, silver will (ultimately) perform much better than during the 70s. The fractal analysis of the US Dollar Index (below) shows some more similarities and differences between the 70s era and now. I believe…
Silver Price Forecast: The 1929 Dow crash marked the start of the infamous Great Depression. We currently have a repeat of the pattern that led to that great crash in 1929. This pattern is basically a huge stock market rally (after a period of stagnation) that is driven by a huge expansion of the money…
Silver and Gold Price Forecast: In a previous article (September 2015), I presented the following analysis (in italics) to show how we are close to a point were a significant event could happen in the bond market and/or gold & silver markets: Above, is a chart (from macrotrends.com) that shows the ratio of the gold…
Silver Price Analysis 2016: During the previous silver bull market, interest rates and silver moved in the same direction. This makes sense, given the fact that silver and interest rates move together in the long run – for the last 100 years at least. The current silver bull market (since 2001) has seen a big…
Previously, I have shown how the structure of the 70s silver bull market is similar to the current one. This similarity is also true for interest rates. This makes sense, given the fact that silver and interest rates move together in the long run. Below, I have done fractal analysis of the 10-year US Treasury…
Silver Price Forecast: A Powerful Signal for the Coming Silver Rally The silver price and the US Dollar/South African Rand exchange rate (USD/ZAR) have a very interesting relationship that goes back a long way. Due to the nature of this relationship, I have found the USD/ZAR chart to be a good tool for determining a…
It is not well known, that historically silver and interest rates have actually moved together (in the long-term). When interest rates are going up, then silver is going up. When interest rates are going down, silver is going down. In the short-term, interest rates and silver can diverge (like since about 2002 to now); however, this…
Silver Price Forecast 2016: There is only so much value in the world economy, and it is split between all the different instruments (like gold, silver, stocks, bonds, commodities, etc.) where value resides. For silver and gold to rise significantly, relative to other instruments of value, value will have to be diverted away from those…
Silver Price Forecast: Silver Peak Likely Only After Dow Crash & Major Bottom Last year, I produced the following chart and commentary (italics) to show how the Dow could crash like it did in 1929: Above, is a fractal comparison between the current period (1998 to 2015) and the 1920/30s, for the Dow (charts from…
The rise of silver and the collapse of the monetary system is inescapably linked, since the monetary system is built upon the suppression of silver.
Money is a store of value (or wealth), a medium of exchange as well as a unit of account. In order for money to be effective in the above it has to have the following properties: divisible – should be divisible in smaller units portable – able to carry it around therefore a high value…
The timing of this silver rally relative to the gold silver ratio (GSR). In the last 100 years, there were three significant silver rallies, with the current one still in progress. Below is a long-term Gold/Silver Ratio chart showing those silver rallies: I have highlighted the periods during which the silver rallies occurred – from…
It is good news for silver investors when significant nominal peaks of the Dow are formed. This is because significant nominal peaks in the price of silver tend to come after significant nominal peaks in the Dow. This has been the case for the last 90 years at least. The two most significant nominal peaks…
Silver Price Forecast: Silver and the Bond Market Collapse Debt is at the root of money creation in this debt-based monetary system. In fact, as the name suggests, money is debt in this system. Historically, instead of debt as money, there would have been gold or silver. Gold is still somehow linked to the monetary…
Dow About To Crash Like October 1929? Got physical silver and gold?
The context of this silver bull market and the massive debt levels today, suggest that silver will go much higher.
Historically silver and Interest rates have actually moved together. When interest rates are going up, then silver is going up. When interest rates are going down, silver is going down.
Sometime during the Dow’s next leg down, there is likely to be a significant silver rally, which would take silver higher than the April 2011 high.
If you look at monetary history, then you will find that we have moved from periods where mostly real or tangible assets like gold and silver acted as monetary claims on goods and services in the economy, to today where mostly credit or debt claims (fiat currencies like the US dollar) act as monetary claims on goods and services. Therefore, we have moved from a real asset-based monetary system to a debt-based monetary system.
Please, if possible, do not embed video on your site. Instead, link directly to this site: https://hubertmoolman.wordpress.com/2015/09/03/silver-price-analysis-silvers-ultimate-rally-and-signs-to-exit/ For more of this unique fractal analysis on silver and gold, you are welcome to subscribe to my premium service. I have also recently completed a Long-term Silver Fractal Analysis Report. Warm regards Hubert “And it shall come…
The structure of the current silver bull market has a lot in common with the 70s one. However, there are also some differences, which actually favour a stronger silver performance during this bull market.
Silver Price Forecast 2015: Silver And The Petrodollar Many have mistakenly dismissed silver as just another commodity like oil, for example. If one looks at how silver has traded since 2001, in comparison with oil, one might agree with that mistaken believe. Below is a comparison of silver and oil since 2001 (charts from stockcharts.com):…
The Gold/Silver Ratio (GSR) is a key indicator in the analysis of the silver and gold markets. This ratio (or chart of the ratio) is probably one of the most difficult to analyse. One has to take a real close look at the ratio in order to find what actually drives the ratio up or down.